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| | | ADVERTORIAL | | Crash Is King. | | 04/25/2022
You've heard the expression "cash is king." Very true. But it's equally true that "crash is king:" when speculative excesses collapse under their own extremes, the crash crushes all other narratives and becomes the dominant dynamic.
Everything that the mainstream uses to predict "value," market action and "the future" is tossed out the window.
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In the context of conventional concepts of "value" and central bank power, crashes are impossible. According to conventional explanations, the central banks control the markets and so crashes are brief and shallow because the banks will quickly change course and flood the financial markets with free money.
In the conventional view, markets are rational and liquid: there will always be a a buyer for every seller (i.e. liquidity) because there will always be a rational reason and cash/credit available to buy an asset at the current price.
Crashes reveal this as false: there is no buyer for every seller in crashes because it's not rational to buy assets which have been grossly overvalued and are resetting at new valuations in a chaotic freefall. Indeed, the entire concept of "value" is in doubt, and as we all know, markets hate uncertainty.
This is why crash is king: when liquidity dries up, the entire structure of "there's always a buyer" collapses. When there are only sellers and few buyers, markets crash. When the underlying value of the asset can no longer be known with any certainty, it's not rational to gamble that the first or second leg down is "the bottom."
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WSJ: 'We Think A Hard Landing Will Ultimately Be Unavoidable': How To Prepare Your Finances For A Recession 04/21/2022
If there's been one lesson about finances and investing these past two years, it's that market-tanking events "can always be right around the corner," said Joel Cundick of Savant Wealth Management in McLean, Va. "While at present there are multiple known issues — global and domestic — that could trigger a recession, the real market movers can be the surprises that no one is aware of today."
'The real market movers can be the surprises that no one is aware of today'
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Two years after the short, sharp pandemic-related recession, Wall Street is once again warning of a new recession on the horizon.
That's not a lot to go on, but financial planning experts say it ought to be enough to prompt people to come up with their own contingency plans. That's especially so, considering the personal finance scares that came earlier in the pandemic.
The COVID-19-induced recession formally started February 2020 and ended April 2020, but policymakers and regular people are still grappling with the after-effects.
The Federal Reserve is trying to tame inflation, now at four-decade highs. The concern is key interest rate hikes rising from near 0% and tighter monetary policies could crimp consumer demand to the point that the economy potentially — emphasis on potentially — takes a hard-landing thud into another recession.
There's a 15% chance of a recession happening in the next 12 months, Goldman Sachs forecasters said this week. The chances climb to 35% in the coming 24 months, they wrote.
At Deutsche Bank, researchers said, "We think a hard landing will ultimately be unavoidable by late '23/early '24 after an aggressive series of Fed hikes over the next 18 months." And that's even with the good financial shape that many consumers are in now, the note added.
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Bloomberg: Gold's Inflation-Haven Appeal Means 'Violent' Run-Up May Be Ahead Gold's Inflation-Haven Appeal Means 'Violent' Run-Up May Be Ahead.
(Bloomberg) -- One after another, commodities from aluminum to natural gas have surged as pandemic aftershocks rattle supply chains. Gold could be next, although for very different reasons.
That's the view of two of the biggest names in Canadian mining -- the former chiefs of Goldcorp Inc., David Garofalo and Rob McEwen -- who predict investors will catch on soon that global inflationary pressures are less transitory and more intense than central bankers and consumers price indexes suggest.
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When that realization sets in, gold's inflation-protection appeal probably will send prices to $3,000 an ounce, from about $1,800 now, according to Garofalo, who ran Goldcorp before it was gobbled up by Newmont Corp. and now heads Gold Royalty Corp. Such a run-up would be a "down-payment" to McEwen's $5,000 long term prediction.
"I'm talking about months," he said. "The reaction tends to be immediate and violent when it does happen. That's why I'm quite confident that gold will achieve $3,000 an ounce in months not years."
"It's not just the dollar," he said. "All currencies are buying less than what they were buying a year ago. So I look at that as an unprecedented development at least in our lives that is going to affect the value of fiat currencies around the world."
Its universality and 4,000 year-old history mean gold is better positioned than crypto-currencies as a hedge against an inflationary environment that "will have deep and meaningful impacts on our capital," Garofalo said.
Inflation is also rippling through the gold industry, with labor and input scarcities emerging and costs rising.
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About Patriot Gold Group CEO Jack Hanney 
Jack Hanney is the CEO & Co-Founder of Patriot Gold Group, and a nationally sought after financial speaker and guest. Recently featured on Fox Los Angeles "Good Day LA", he was interviewed on his insights on the global health crisis and its impact on the economy, and he accurately predicted the catastrophic 17% pullback we saw last week. His interview can be viewed here: Fox Interview
Learn Why Smart Money is Moving to Precious Metals in 2022.
What Can You Do To Protect Your Retirement in 2022 and Beyond? - Former Chiefs of Goldcorp Expect $3000 Gold in the Near Future.
- Global Inflationary pressures coupled with record breaking job openings is ushering in dreaded Stagflation. Hyperinflation & a global energy crisis eerily reminiscent of the 70's brings to mind Mark Twains quote "History never repeats itself, but it does often rhyme."
- Labor shortages and massive supply chain issues ahead of the Holiday season and going into 2022 have Economists and Financial Market Strategists forecasting it's going to get a whole lot worse before it gets better.
- The Federal Reserve has committed to tapering their asset purchases in 2022; just as the Liberal Democrats want to raise our debt several trillion dollars to "address structural problems in American society." As this Administration plans to weaponize the IRS and pass the "largest tax hike in a generation" affecting corporations whose share prices are already in "bubble territory" the demand for Gold & Silver and Gold & Silver backed Self Directed IRA's has skyrocketed.
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Why Are More Americans Than Ever Using Precious Metals in Their Investments?: - #1: Protect from the U.S. Dollar's ongoing loss in value.
- #2: Ensure that they will ALWAYS have value.
- #3: Safeguard from any downturn in stocks from Chinese virus and stock market volatility.
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Why This Matters To Most Retirement Account Holders.
| | Why This Matters To Most Retirement Account Holders. | Did you know that Gold is the best performing investment class since 2000?
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Heading into 2022 are you prepared? Economists, Financial Market Strategists and Bank of America are forecasting ZERO returns for the stock market over the next 10 Years!
1970's era Inflation has gripped our economy and Americans are helplessly watching as the purchasing power of their dollar shrinking. The Fed is backed into a corner, raise rates like Fed Chair Paul Volker ('80-'82) and crash the economy or let Inflation destroy the USD.
As hyperinflation is wreaking havoc on our economy along with the Democrats proposing multi trillion-dollar legislation (Build Back Better & Infrastructure) and the "largest tax hike in a generation" Democrats are also weaponizing the IRS to "make the economy more fair." Economists like Nouriel Roubini are warning dreaded Staglaftion could replace Inflation with the historic number of job openings (11M) and slowing economy.
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